The US Department of Agriculture’s October 9 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report put projected 2026/27 world ending stocks of total grains at 787.84 million tonnes, up from 778.32 million in September. Its world grain trade forecast for the same marketing year was lowered from 527.85 million to 524.23 million tonnes. This is a global supply-and-demand outlook, distinct in scale from the report’s individual US production estimates.
For wheat, projected world trade was cut by 2.80 million tonnes from September to 208.97 million, while production was nearly unchanged at about 822.4 million tonnes. The oilseeds production forecast fell from 723.46 million to 722.20 million tonnes, and projected vegetable-oil ending stocks declined from 30.80 million to 29.92 million tonnes. These are USDA projections for 2026/27, not realized sales or harvest measurements.
HABER PAPER / DATA
Behind the numbers
Inspect the source, read the data, make your own analysis.
Data table
Global supply and ending-stock projections
USDA’s October WASDE projections for the 2026/27 marketing year, compared with the prior month.
Global supply and ending-stock projections
Indicator (English)
Source value and unit
Period or announcement date
Data basis (English)
Numeric value (source scale)
Source unit (English)
Equality or bound qualifier
Total grain ending stocks (September)
778.32 million metric tonnes
2026/27 marketing year; September projection vintage
forecast
778.32
million metric tonnes
reported-point
Total grain ending stocks (October)
787.84 million metric tonnes
2026/27 marketing year; October projection vintage
forecast
787.84
million metric tonnes
reported-point
World wheat trade (October)
208.97 million metric tonnes
2026/27 marketing year; October projection vintage
forecast
208.97
million metric tonnes
reported-point
Vegetable-oil ending stocks (October)
29.92 million metric tonnes
2026/27 marketing year; October projection vintage
forecast
29.92
million metric tonnes
reported-point
Source and methodology
Haber Paper source-linked editorial data compilation; underlying sources retain their separate reuse terms.
Transcribes September and October global projections from the report; marketing-year figures are not presented as calendar-year data. Numeric values retain source scales; bounds are distinct from exact equality. Sorting must account for units and indicator scope.
The Senate passed the Raw Materials Research and Development Council amendment at third reading, while two agriculture proposals cleared first reading.
Source: National Assembly Library Trust Fund (NALTF)
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