The US Department of Agriculture’s October 9 Crop Production report projected 2026 soybean output at 4.56 billion bushels. That is 1% above the previous forecast and 7% above 2025; the expected yield of 53.1 bushels per acre is also a record. The report put corn production at 16.0 billion bushels, 1% above the prior estimate but 5% below last year. If realized, that would be the nation’s second-largest corn crop on record.
The estimates use harvested-area and yield assessments as of October 1; they are forecasts rather than final harvest totals. In the same report, cotton production was projected at 13.4 million 480-pound bales, 2% above the previous forecast and 3% below 2025. The outlook therefore points in different directions for corn, soybeans and cotton.
HABER PAPER / DATA
Behind the numbers
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Data table
Projected US production
National estimates in USDA’s October 9, 2026 Crop Production report.
Projected US production
Indicator (English)
Source value and unit
Period or announcement date
Data basis (English)
Numeric value (source scale)
Source unit (English)
Equality or bound qualifier
Soybeans
4.56 billion bushels
2026
forecast
4.56
billion bushels
reported-point
Corn for grain
16 billion bushels
2026
forecast
16
billion bushels
reported-point
Cotton
13.4 million 480-pound bales
2026
forecast
13.4
million 480-pound bales
reported-point
Source and methodology
Haber Paper source-linked editorial data compilation; underlying sources retain their separate reuse terms.
Transcribes USDA’s 2026 forecasts as of October 1; these are not final harvest measurements. Numeric values retain source scales; bounds are distinct from exact equality. Sorting must account for units and indicator scope.
The Senate passed the Raw Materials Research and Development Council amendment at third reading, while two agriculture proposals cleared first reading.
Source: National Assembly Library Trust Fund (NALTF)
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