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Statistics Canada’s September 29 release on gross domestic product by industry showed no monthly change in Canada’s real GDP in July: 0.0%. The agency described activity as essentially unchanged. Ten of 20 industrial sectors expanded, while the goods-producing and services-producing aggregates were each nearly flat. A flat aggregate does not mean that sectors moved together. Gains in some areas were offset by declines elsewhere, so the headline conceals a mixed pattern rather than a month without economic activity.
Construction output rose 1.3%, its fourth consecutive monthly increase. Those gains offset declines recorded during the final months of 2025 and the beginning of 2026. Every construction subsector expanded in July. Engineering and other construction activities increased 1.5%, while non-residential building construction rose 2.9%. Statistics Canada linked part of the latter increase to institutional construction associated with a new hospital in Ontario. Residential building construction advanced 0.9%, reflecting higher home alterations and improvements and increased activity in the construction of most dwelling types.
Utilities grew 1.7%, more than reversing June’s contraction. Electric power generation, transmission and distribution also rose 1.7%; natural gas distribution increased 2.9%. Statistics Canada said a heat wave across many parts of Canada raised electricity demand and that natural gas demand increased across customer classes. This supplies context for the sector figures, but a single monthly observation is not a separate causal estimate of how much weather added to total GDP. The release identifies coincident conditions; it does not quantify a nationwide weather contribution to the overall economic result.
Manufacturing contracted 0.9%, its first decline in four months. Durable-goods manufacturing fell 0.5% and non-durable manufacturing dropped 1.3%. Petroleum and coal product manufacturing declined 5.7%, while refinery activity fell 6.2%; the agency associated lower output with unplanned downtime at a refinery in southwestern Ontario. Machinery manufacturing was down 5.1%. These sector indexes do not imply that every manufacturer reduced production by the same amount. They aggregate activity across many establishments and do not disclose the output of any individual facility.
Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction decreased 0.5%. Potash mining fell 6.4% and oil and gas extraction declined 0.3%, while oil sands activity rose 0.2%. Retail trade was down 1.0% and wholesale trade 0.4%. In contrast, professional, scientific and technical services expanded 0.3%, and accommodation and food services increased 0.8%. The national total therefore captures a month when pronounced sector gains and losses offset one another. Zero overall growth should not be read as an absence of economic activity or as a result shared by all industries.
The 0.2% increase reported for August is an advance estimate, not a finalized monthly observation. Statistics Canada said it would be updated with the official August GDP-by-industry release on October 30. July’s figures are seasonally adjusted chained-volume estimates with 2017 as the reference year. Monthly accounts are benchmarked to annual supply-and-use tables, and the agency incorporates new administrative and survey information over time. Revisions in this release extend back to January 2025, so historical values can change as new evidence and updated seasonal calculations enter the estimates.
July’s figures alone do not establish that Canada’s economy is resilient or weakening. GDP by industry tracks real changes in value added; its rates can differ slightly from expenditure-based quarterly GDP because the concepts and statistical methods are not identical. The series is not nominal sales, employment, household income or corporate profit. Its useful signal is the contrast among sectors behind a flat headline, together with the fact that estimates remain revisable. The October August release and later revisions will provide more evidence on how July fits into the wider economic sequence.


