The UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) estimated that real GDP rose 0.4% in July 2026 in its monthly release published on 11 September. GDP had increased 0.3% in June and was unchanged in May. The rolling three-month measure, comparing April to July with the preceding three months, also grew 0.4%, marking an eighth consecutive period of three-month growth. In the month of July, services output rose 0.4%, production 0.2% and construction 0.1%. The monthly movement and the longer three-month trend refer to different comparison windows and should be read separately.

Services grew 0.6% over the latest three months and made the largest contribution to overall growth. In July, administrative and support services increased 3.7%, while information and communication rose 2.4%. A 3.5% increase in computer programming and consultancy contributed to the latter’s advance. Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles, however, fell 1.0% in July; wholesale trade made the largest negative contribution to GDP. Production contracted 0.5% over three months but grew 0.2% in July. Construction declined 0.5% over three months but expanded 0.1% during the month.

GDP grew 1.3% in the three months to July compared with a year earlier. Over the same comparison, services increased 1.7% and production 0.5%, while construction fell 2.3%. The ONS explains that its monthly GDP estimate uses only the output approach; quarterly national accounts average the output, income and expenditure approaches. The monthly index is mainly based on the Monthly Business Survey and estimates value added using industry turnover; because intermediate-consumption data are collected annually, turnover or output volumes act as proxies in some industries. Early monthly estimates can therefore be updated as further survey returns arrive and through the annual Blue Book process. The figures are the official estimate for the period, not a guarantee against later revision.