{"version":"1","article":{"id":"uk-population-mid2025-growth-migration-revisions","slug":"uk-mid-2025-population-estimate","language":"en","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/news/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate?lang=en","title":"UK population reaches 69.5 million as annual growth slows","summary":"The ONS estimated the mid-2025 population at 69.484 million. Net international migration remained the largest contributor to annual growth, while natural change was much smaller.","category":"economy","region":"world","topics":[],"published_at":"2026-10-04T13:00:06+03:00","modified_at":"2026-10-04T13:00:06+03:00","publication_basis":"publication-record","event_period":"2025-06-30","event_period_basis":"event-or-reference-period","sources":[{"name":"Office for National Statistics","url":"https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/bulletins/annualmidyearpopulationestimates/mid2025","publishedAt":"2026-10-01","checkedAt":"2026-10-04"},{"name":"ONS mid-year population estimates dataset, mid-2025 edition","url":"https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/datasets/populationestimatesforukenglandandwalesscotlandandnorthernireland","publishedAt":"2026-10-01","checkedAt":"2026-10-04"},{"name":"ONS Population Estimates for England and Wales: Quality and Methods Guide","url":"https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/methodologies/populationestimatesforenglandandwalesqualityandmethodsguide","publishedAt":"2026-07-29","checkedAt":"2026-10-04"},{"name":"National Records of Scotland Mid-Year Population Estimates: Methodology Guide","url":"https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/media/q13ny1hi/mye-2025-methodology-guide.pdf","publishedAt":"2026-07-14","checkedAt":"2026-10-04"},{"name":"NISRA Mid-Year Population Estimates for Northern Ireland: Methodology Paper","url":"https://datavis.nisra.gov.uk/population/2025-methodology-report.html","publishedAt":"2026-09-24","checkedAt":"2026-10-04"}],"translations":[{"language":"tr","url":"https://haberpaper.com/tr/news/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate?lang=tr"},{"language":"en","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/news/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate?lang=en"},{"language":"ar","url":"https://haberpaper.com/ar/news/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate?lang=ar"},{"language":"fr","url":"https://haberpaper.com/fr/news/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate?lang=fr"},{"language":"es","url":"https://haberpaper.com/es/news/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate?lang=es"}],"data_types":["metrics"],"data":{"version":1,"blocks":[{"id":"uk-population-growth","type":"metrics","title":{"tr":"2025 ortası Birleşik Krallık nüfus tahmini","en":"UK mid-2025 population estimate","ar":"تقدير سكان المملكة المتحدة في منتصف 2025","fr":"Estimation de la population britannique à mi-2025","es":"Estimación de la población británica a mitad de 2025"},"description":{"tr":"Resmî mid-year tahmininde ülke toplamı ve yıllık değişiminin başlıca bileşenleri.","en":"The official mid-year estimate and the principal components of its annual change.","ar":"التقدير الرسمي لمنتصف العام والمكونات الرئيسية للتغير السنوي.","fr":"Estimation officielle de mi-année et principales composantes de sa variation annuelle.","es":"Estimación oficial de mitad de año y principales componentes de su variación anual."},"methodology":{"tr":"Nüfus stoku 30 Haziran 2025 referanslıdır; akım ölçüleri 30 Haziran 2024–30 Haziran 2025 dönemini kapsar. Birleşik Krallık tahmini ülke istatistik kurumlarının cohort component yöntemiyle üretilen değerlerini birleştirir. Net uluslararası göç 12 ay veya daha uzun süreli olağan ikamet değişiklikleridir; toplam nüfus değişimiyle eş anlamlı değildir. Değerler ONS'nin yayımladığı ölçek ve yuvarlamayla verilmiştir; belirsizlik ve planlı revizyonlar geçerlidir.","en":"The population stock is for 30 June 2025; flow measures cover 30 June 2024 to 30 June 2025. The UK estimate combines constituent-country estimates produced using the cohort component method. Net international migration counts changes of usual residence lasting at least 12 months; it is not synonymous with total population change. Values retain the ONS published scale and rounding; uncertainty and scheduled revisions apply.","ar":"يرجع رصيد السكان إلى 30 يونيو 2025؛ وتغطي مقاييس التدفقات الفترة من 30 يونيو 2024 إلى 30 يونيو 2025. ويجمع تقدير المملكة المتحدة تقديرات البلدان المكونة، المنتجة بطريقة المكونات الفوجية. وتشمل الهجرة الدولية الصافية تغييرات الإقامة المعتادة لمدة 12 شهراً على الأقل؛ وهي لا تعني التغير الكلي في السكان. تحافظ القيم على مقياس وتقريب المكتب المنشور، مع مراعاة عدم اليقين والمراجعات المقررة.","fr":"Le stock de population se rapporte au 30 juin 2025 ; les flux couvrent la période du 30 juin 2024 au 30 juin 2025. L’estimation britannique rassemble les estimations des pays constitutifs produites par la méthode des composantes par cohorte. La migration internationale nette compte les changements de résidence habituelle d’au moins 12 mois ; elle n’est pas synonyme de variation totale de la population. Les valeurs conservent l’échelle et les arrondis publiés par l’ONS ; incertitude et révisions programmées s’appliquent.","es":"El stock de población corresponde al 30 de junio de 2025; los flujos cubren del 30 de junio de 2024 al 30 de junio de 2025. La estimación británica combina las cifras de los países constituyentes, producidas con el método de componentes por cohorte. La migración internacional neta cuenta cambios de residencia habitual de al menos 12 meses; no equivale al cambio total de población. Se conserva la escala y el redondeo publicados por la ONS; se aplican incertidumbre y revisiones previstas."},"sourceUrls":["https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/bulletins/annualmidyearpopulationestimates/mid2025","https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/datasets/populationestimatesforukenglandandwalesscotlandandnorthernireland"],"updatedAt":"2026-10-03T23:59:22Z","licenseUrl":"https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/","items":[{"label":{"tr":"Nüfus tahmini, 30 Haziran 2025","en":"Population estimate, 30 June 2025","ar":"تقدير السكان، 30 يونيو 2025","fr":"Estimation de la population, 30 juin 2025","es":"Estimación de población, 30 de junio de 2025"},"value":69483900,"unit":"count","period":"2025","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uk-pop-mid-2025","unitCode":"count","geography":"united-kingdom","frequency":"annual","aggregation":"stock","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"Yıllık toplam nüfus değişimi","en":"Annual total population change","ar":"التغير السنوي الكلي في السكان","fr":"Variation annuelle totale de la population","es":"Variación anual total de la población"},"value":227700,"unit":"count","period":"2025","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uk-pop-change-mid-2025","unitCode":"count","geography":"united-kingdom","frequency":"annual","aggregation":"change","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"Net uluslararası göç, 12 ay ve üzeri","en":"Net international migration, 12 months or more","ar":"صافي الهجرة الدولية، 12 شهراً أو أكثر","fr":"Migration internationale nette, 12 mois ou plus","es":"Migración internacional neta, 12 meses o más"},"value":222900,"unit":"count","period":"2025","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uk-net-international-migration-mid-2025","unitCode":"count","geography":"united-kingdom","frequency":"annual","aggregation":"flow","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"Doğal değişim (doğumlar eksi ölümler)","en":"Natural change (births minus deaths)","ar":"التغير الطبيعي (المواليد ناقص الوفيات)","fr":"Solde naturel (naissances moins décès)","es":"Cambio natural (nacimientos menos defunciones)"},"value":4900,"unit":"count","period":"2025","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uk-natural-change-mid-2025","unitCode":"count","geography":"united-kingdom","frequency":"annual","aggregation":"flow","periodRole":"reference-period"}}]}]},"data_compilations":[{"id":"uk-population-growth","creator":{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/#organization","name":"Haber Paper","url":"https://haberpaper.com/"},"license":{"@type":"CreativeWork","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1#license","name":"Haber Paper Original Data Compilation License 1.0","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1"},"rights_scope":"Haber Paper original data arrangement, labels and methodology notes only; underlying source rights and permissions remain separate.","source_license_url":"https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/"}],"data_downloads":[{"id":"uk-population-growth","formats":{"json":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate/data/uk-population-growth?lang=en&format=json","csv":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uk-mid-2025-population-estimate/data/uk-population-growth?lang=en&format=csv"}}],"content":{"paragraphs":["The UK population reached 69,483,900 at mid-2025, according to an estimate released by the Office for National Statistics on 1 October. That was an increase of 227,700, or 0.33%, from mid-2024. The ONS said this was the slowest rate of increase since mid-2020. The estimate refers to the usually resident population on 30 June 2025; it is not a count of everyone physically present in the country on a particular day.","Growth in the UK total was concentrated overwhelmingly in England. Its population rose to 58,834,800, an annual increase of 227,600 or 0.39%. Scotland reached 5,545,500, up 2,200, while Northern Ireland reached 1,928,400, up 600. Wales fell to 3,175,200, a decrease of 2,800 or 0.09%. The ONS cautioned that the size and direction of the small changes in Scotland and Wales could be revised as more complete data become available.","Net international migration was the largest demographic component of annual growth. The ONS estimated that 886,200 people arrived to live in the UK for at least 12 months and 663,400 left for at least that long, giving net international migration of 222,900. The comparable estimates for the previous year were 1,296,500 arrivals, 644,800 departures and net migration of 651,700. Net migration therefore fell sharply but still added to the population. It is not interchangeable with the change in the population total: that total also reflects births, deaths, movement within the UK and smaller components.","Natural change, the difference between births and deaths, added only 4,900 people to the overall population. There were an estimated 652,400 births, 9,700 fewer than in the previous year and the lowest number for at least 43 years. Deaths were estimated at 647,500, up 1,600. These figures do not cover exactly the same period as calendar-year birth and death statistics: the population estimates track the 12 months ending on 30 June. Rounding and other small components also mean the published component figures need not add precisely to the headline change.","The bulletin also revised earlier population estimates. The UK population at mid-2024 was revised to 69,256,300, 25,200 or 0.04% below the previously published estimate. Estimates for mid-2022 to mid-2024 were updated with improved international migration data for England and Wales, and estimates for mid-2023 and mid-2024 were revised for Scotland. The new mid-2025 estimate is around 3,000 below the provisional UK figure of 69,487,000 published in November 2025. This scheduled revision does not mean the earlier release contained an error: the series is recalculated as migration methods and data sources improve.","The ONS and the national statistical agencies use the cohort component method, which rolls a population base forward using births, deaths and migration. The England and Wales base comes from the 2021 Census; Scotland’s base comes from its 2022 Census. The UK total combines estimates from the ONS, National Records of Scotland and the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency. Their approaches are broadly comparable, but not every country uses identical administrative records or detail. International migration counts movements that change usual residence for 12 months or more; short-term visitors are outside that definition.","The 69.5 million figure is therefore an official estimate for service planning, resource allocation and rate calculations, rather than an immutable headcount. The ONS says uncertainty can accumulate as estimates are rolled forward from the census base and components are measured. It is greater for smaller areas and narrow age-sex groups, so the very small annual movements in Wales and Scotland warrant particular caution. Users are also advised not to splice figures from different release vintages into one time series; they should use the internally consistent series supplied with this edition. Further data and methodological changes may alter estimates in future releases."],"key_points":[],"sections":[]},"text":"The ONS estimated the mid-2025 population at 69.484 million. Net international migration remained the largest contributor to annual growth, while natural change was much smaller.\n\nThe UK population reached 69,483,900 at mid-2025, according to an estimate released by the Office for National Statistics on 1 October. That was an increase of 227,700, or 0.33%, from mid-2024. The ONS said this was the slowest rate of increase since mid-2020. The estimate refers to the usually resident population on 30 June 2025; it is not a count of everyone physically present in the country on a particular day.\n\nGrowth in the UK total was concentrated overwhelmingly in England. Its population rose to 58,834,800, an annual increase of 227,600 or 0.39%. Scotland reached 5,545,500, up 2,200, while Northern Ireland reached 1,928,400, up 600. Wales fell to 3,175,200, a decrease of 2,800 or 0.09%. The ONS cautioned that the size and direction of the small changes in Scotland and Wales could be revised as more complete data become available.\n\nNet international migration was the largest demographic component of annual growth. The ONS estimated that 886,200 people arrived to live in the UK for at least 12 months and 663,400 left for at least that long, giving net international migration of 222,900. The comparable estimates for the previous year were 1,296,500 arrivals, 644,800 departures and net migration of 651,700. Net migration therefore fell sharply but still added to the population. It is not interchangeable with the change in the population total: that total also reflects births, deaths, movement within the UK and smaller components.\n\nNatural change, the difference between births and deaths, added only 4,900 people to the overall population. There were an estimated 652,400 births, 9,700 fewer than in the previous year and the lowest number for at least 43 years. Deaths were estimated at 647,500, up 1,600. These figures do not cover exactly the same period as calendar-year birth and death statistics: the population estimates track the 12 months ending on 30 June. Rounding and other small components also mean the published component figures need not add precisely to the headline change.\n\nThe bulletin also revised earlier population estimates. The UK population at mid-2024 was revised to 69,256,300, 25,200 or 0.04% below the previously published estimate. Estimates for mid-2022 to mid-2024 were updated with improved international migration data for England and Wales, and estimates for mid-2023 and mid-2024 were revised for Scotland. The new mid-2025 estimate is around 3,000 below the provisional UK figure of 69,487,000 published in November 2025. This scheduled revision does not mean the earlier release contained an error: the series is recalculated as migration methods and data sources improve.\n\nThe ONS and the national statistical agencies use the cohort component method, which rolls a population base forward using births, deaths and migration. The England and Wales base comes from the 2021 Census; Scotland’s base comes from its 2022 Census. The UK total combines estimates from the ONS, National Records of Scotland and the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency. Their approaches are broadly comparable, but not every country uses identical administrative records or detail. International migration counts movements that change usual residence for 12 months or more; short-term visitors are outside that definition.\n\nThe 69.5 million figure is therefore an official estimate for service planning, resource allocation and rate calculations, rather than an immutable headcount. The ONS says uncertainty can accumulate as estimates are rolled forward from the census base and components are measured. It is greater for smaller areas and narrow age-sex groups, so the very small annual movements in Wales and Scotland warrant particular caution. Users are also advised not to splice figures from different release vintages into one time series; they should use the internally consistent series supplied with this edition. Further data and methodological changes may alter estimates in future releases.","corrections":[],"editorial_illustration":{"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","documentary":false,"scope":"section","asset_id":"economy","url":"https://haberpaper.com/assets/illustrations/economy-1536.webp","width":1536,"height":1024,"alt":"Symbolic trading harbour with a cargo ship, containers and a bridge.","language":"en"},"section_illustration":{"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","documentary":false,"scope":"section","asset_id":"economy","url":"https://haberpaper.com/assets/illustrations/economy-1536.webp","width":1536,"height":1024,"alt":"Symbolic trading harbour with a cargo ship, containers and a bridge.","language":"en"}}}