{"version":"1","article":{"id":"uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates","slug":"uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates","language":"en","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/news/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates?lang=en","title":"UAE first-half real GDP reaches AED961.9bn as non-oil sectors expand","summary":"Preliminary FCSC estimates put H1 real GDP at AED961.9bn, up 0.4% year on year; non-oil GDP grew 1.8%, while Q2 GDP fell 2.1% year on year.","category":"economy","region":"world","topics":[],"published_at":"2026-10-10T15:42:16+03:00","modified_at":"2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00","publication_basis":"publication-record","event_period":"2026-10-09","event_period_basis":"event-or-reference-period","sources":[{"name":"Emirates News Agency (WAM)","url":"https://www.wam.ae/en/article/c2nmxd8-uae-economy-reaches-aed9619-billion-2026-with","publishedAt":"2026-10-09","checkedAt":"2026-10-10"}],"translations":[{"language":"tr","url":"https://haberpaper.com/tr/news/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates?lang=tr"},{"language":"en","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/news/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates?lang=en"},{"language":"ar","url":"https://haberpaper.com/ar/news/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates?lang=ar"},{"language":"fr","url":"https://haberpaper.com/fr/news/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates?lang=fr"},{"language":"es","url":"https://haberpaper.com/es/news/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates?lang=es"}],"data_types":["metrics"],"data":{"version":1,"blocks":[{"id":"uae-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary","type":"metrics","title":{"en":"UAE preliminary real GDP estimates, H1 and Q2 2026","tr":"BAE 2026 ilk yarı ve ikinci çeyrek ön reel GSYH tahminleri","ar":"تقديرات الناتج الحقيقي الأولية للإمارات في النصف الأول والربع الثاني 2026","fr":"Estimations préliminaires du PIB réel émirati, S1 et T2 2026","es":"Estimaciones preliminares del PIB real emiratí, primer semestre y T2 de 2026"},"description":{"en":"FCSC preliminary constant-price GDP levels, growth rates and non-oil share.","tr":"FCSC’nin sabit fiyatlı ön GSYH düzeyleri, büyüme oranları ve petrol dışı payı.","ar":"مستويات الناتج الأولية بأسعار ثابتة ومعدلات النمو وحصة الأنشطة غير النفطية وفق المركز.","fr":"Niveaux préliminaires du PIB à prix constants, taux de croissance et part non pétrolière du centre.","es":"Niveles preliminares del PIB a precios constantes, tasas de crecimiento y cuota no petrolera del centro."},"methodology":{"en":"All figures are preliminary FCSC estimates. H1 rates compare with H1 2025; Q2 rates compare with Q2 2025. GDP levels are real at constant prices, not nominal amounts. The source says the national series is under revision; an updated series is expected after approval in Q1 2027.","tr":"Tüm değerler FCSC ön tahminidir. İlk yarı oranları 2025’in ilk yarısıyla; ikinci çeyrek oranları 2025’in ikinci çeyreğiyle karşılaştırılır. GSYH düzeyleri nominal değil, sabit fiyatlı reeldir. Kaynak ulusal serinin revizyonda olduğunu ve güncellenmiş serinin onay sonrası 2027 ilk çeyreğinde beklendiğini bildiriyor.","ar":"جميع القيم تقديرات أولية للمركز. تقارن معدلات النصف الأول بالنصف الأول من 2025، ومعدلات الربع الثاني بالربع الثاني من 2025. مستويات الناتج حقيقية بأسعار ثابتة وليست اسمية. وقال المصدر إن السلسلة قيد المراجعة وإن السلسلة المحدثة متوقعة بعد الاعتماد في الربع الأول من 2027.","fr":"Toutes les valeurs sont des estimations préliminaires. Les taux du S1 comparent au S1 2025; ceux du T2 au T2 2025. Les niveaux sont réels à prix constants, non nominaux. La série nationale est en cours de révision; une version actualisée est attendue après approbation au T1 2027.","es":"Todas las cifras son estimaciones preliminares. Las tasas del primer semestre comparan con el mismo semestre de 2025; las de T2 con T2 de 2025. Los niveles son reales a precios constantes, no nominales. La serie nacional está en revisión y se prevé actualizarla tras la aprobación en el primer trimestre de 2027."},"sourceUrls":["https://www.wam.ae/en/article/c2nmxd8-uae-economy-reaches-aed9619-billion-2026-with"],"updatedAt":"2026-10-10T12:05:31Z","items":[{"label":{"en":"H1 real GDP at constant prices","tr":"Sabit fiyatlarla ilk yarı reel GSYH","ar":"الناتج الحقيقي للنصف الأول بأسعار ثابتة","fr":"PIB réel du S1 à prix constants","es":"PIB real del primer semestre a precios constantes"},"value":961.9,"unit":"billion AED","period":"2026-06","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uae-real-gdp-h1-2026","unitCode":"billion-aed","geography":"uae","frequency":"irregular","aggregation":"flow","periodRole":"reference-period"},"periodStart":"2026-01"},{"label":{"en":"H1 real GDP growth year on year","tr":"İlk yarı reel GSYH yıllık büyüme","ar":"نمو الناتج الحقيقي للنصف الأول سنوياً","fr":"Croissance annuelle du PIB réel au S1","es":"Crecimiento interanual del PIB real del primer semestre"},"value":0.4,"unit":"percent","period":"2026-06","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uae-real-gdp-growth-h1-2026","unitCode":"percent","geography":"uae","frequency":"irregular","aggregation":"change","periodRole":"reference-period"},"periodStart":"2026-01"},{"label":{"en":"H1 non-oil GDP growth year on year","tr":"İlk yarı petrol dışı GSYH büyümesi","ar":"نمو الناتج غير النفطي للنصف الأول سنوياً","fr":"Croissance annuelle du PIB non pétrolier au S1","es":"Crecimiento interanual del PIB no petrolero del primer semestre"},"value":1.8,"unit":"percent","period":"2026-06","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uae-nonoil-gdp-growth-h1-2026","unitCode":"percent","geography":"uae","frequency":"irregular","aggregation":"change","periodRole":"reference-period"},"periodStart":"2026-01"},{"label":{"en":"Non-oil share of H1 GDP","tr":"İlk yarı GSYH’de petrol dışı pay","ar":"حصة الأنشطة غير النفطية من الناتج في النصف الأول","fr":"Part non pétrolière du PIB au S1","es":"Cuota no petrolera del PIB del primer semestre"},"value":79.2,"unit":"percent","period":"2026-06","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uae-nonoil-gdp-share-h1-2026","unitCode":"percent","geography":"uae","frequency":"irregular","aggregation":"unspecified","periodRole":"reference-period"},"periodStart":"2026-01"},{"label":{"en":"Q2 real GDP at constant prices","tr":"Sabit fiyatlarla ikinci çeyrek reel GSYH","ar":"الناتج الحقيقي للربع الثاني بأسعار ثابتة","fr":"PIB réel du T2 à prix constants","es":"PIB real del segundo trimestre a precios constantes"},"value":476.9,"unit":"billion AED","period":"2026-06","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uae-real-gdp-q2-2026","unitCode":"billion-aed","geography":"uae","frequency":"quarterly","aggregation":"flow","periodRole":"reference-period"},"periodStart":"2026-04"},{"label":{"en":"Q2 real GDP growth year on year","tr":"İkinci çeyrek reel GSYH yıllık değişimi","ar":"التغير السنوي في الناتج الحقيقي للربع الثاني","fr":"Variation annuelle du PIB réel au T2","es":"Variación interanual del PIB real del segundo trimestre"},"value":-2.1,"unit":"percent","period":"2026-06","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uae-real-gdp-growth-q2-2026","unitCode":"percent","geography":"uae","frequency":"quarterly","aggregation":"change","periodRole":"reference-period"},"periodStart":"2026-04"},{"label":{"en":"Q2 non-oil activity growth year on year","tr":"İkinci çeyrek petrol dışı faaliyet yıllık değişimi","ar":"التغير السنوي للأنشطة غير النفطية في الربع الثاني","fr":"Variation annuelle des activités non pétrolières au T2","es":"Variación interanual de actividad no petrolera en T2"},"value":-1.1,"unit":"percent","period":"2026-06","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"uae-nonoil-gdp-growth-q2-2026","unitCode":"percent","geography":"uae","frequency":"quarterly","aggregation":"change","periodRole":"reference-period"},"periodStart":"2026-04"}]}]},"data_compilations":[{"id":"uae-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary","creator":{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/#organization","name":"Haber Paper","url":"https://haberpaper.com/"},"license":{"@type":"CreativeWork","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1#license","name":"Haber Paper Original Data Compilation License 1.0","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1"},"rights_scope":"Haber Paper original data arrangement, labels and methodology notes only; underlying source rights and permissions remain separate.","source_license_url":null}],"data_downloads":[{"id":"uae-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary","formats":{"json":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates/data/uae-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary?lang=en&format=json","csv":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-real-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary-estimates/data/uae-gdp-h1-q2-2026-preliminary?lang=en&format=csv"}}],"content":{"paragraphs":["The Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre reported preliminary national-accounts estimates on 9 October showing UAE real gross domestic product of AED961.9 billion in the first half of 2026, measured at constant prices. That represented growth of 0.4 percent compared with the first half of 2025. The centre said non-oil GDP increased 1.8 percent and accounted for 79.2 percent of the economy, compared with 78.1 percent in the same period a year earlier.","The quarterly picture was weaker. Real GDP in the second quarter was AED476.9 billion, down 2.1 percent from Q2 2025; non-oil activity contracted 1.1 percent year on year. The report links the decline in tourism, transport and trade to regional developments and travel disruptions. These figures do not contradict the positive first-half comparison: they measure a quarter against its year-earlier equivalent, while the half-year figure combines two quarters.","The centre reported variation among non-oil industries. Financial and insurance activities grew 14.8 percent in H1, information and communications 7.3 percent, health and social work 6 percent, construction 5.1 percent, government activities 3.6 percent and real estate 2.3 percent. Within non-oil GDP, trade had the largest contribution at 16.2 percent, followed by finance and insurance at 15.2 percent, construction at 13.1 percent, manufacturing at 11.8 percent and real estate at 7.9 percent.","The indicators are preliminary estimates using the statistical methods and time series currently in use. The FCSC said a comprehensive GDP revision programme is under way with national statistical partners, with a revised time series expected after approval in the first quarter of 2027. Revisions can change historical levels or growth comparisons, so the October release should be treated as the current estimate, not a final immutable result. The data are real, constant-price national accounts rather than nominal sales or cash receipts.","Economically, the figures show two simultaneous conditions: the first-half total remained slightly above the previous year, while Q2 and several travel-sensitive activities weakened. The rising non-oil share is a composition measure; it does not mean that oil output or revenue increased. Growth rates and sector shares answer different questions and should not be combined as if they were additive contributions. For businesses, the report offers a macroeconomic snapshot, while sector-specific orders, prices and company accounts are needed to assess individual market demand.","The release provides a national aggregate, not a complete account of household purchasing power, company margins or employment. Constant-price GDP tracks changes in the volume of production after price effects are removed; it cannot by itself describe inflation or nominal revenue. The distinction matters when businesses compare activity with sales receipts, which can move differently because of prices, exchange conditions or sector composition. The preliminary status and planned revision also argue for using the series with its stated vintage and period."],"key_points":[],"sections":[]},"text":"Preliminary FCSC estimates put H1 real GDP at AED961.9bn, up 0.4% year on year; non-oil GDP grew 1.8%, while Q2 GDP fell 2.1% year on year.\n\nThe Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre reported preliminary national-accounts estimates on 9 October showing UAE real gross domestic product of AED961.9 billion in the first half of 2026, measured at constant prices. That represented growth of 0.4 percent compared with the first half of 2025. The centre said non-oil GDP increased 1.8 percent and accounted for 79.2 percent of the economy, compared with 78.1 percent in the same period a year earlier.\n\nThe quarterly picture was weaker. Real GDP in the second quarter was AED476.9 billion, down 2.1 percent from Q2 2025; non-oil activity contracted 1.1 percent year on year. The report links the decline in tourism, transport and trade to regional developments and travel disruptions. These figures do not contradict the positive first-half comparison: they measure a quarter against its year-earlier equivalent, while the half-year figure combines two quarters.\n\nThe centre reported variation among non-oil industries. Financial and insurance activities grew 14.8 percent in H1, information and communications 7.3 percent, health and social work 6 percent, construction 5.1 percent, government activities 3.6 percent and real estate 2.3 percent. Within non-oil GDP, trade had the largest contribution at 16.2 percent, followed by finance and insurance at 15.2 percent, construction at 13.1 percent, manufacturing at 11.8 percent and real estate at 7.9 percent.\n\nThe indicators are preliminary estimates using the statistical methods and time series currently in use. The FCSC said a comprehensive GDP revision programme is under way with national statistical partners, with a revised time series expected after approval in the first quarter of 2027. Revisions can change historical levels or growth comparisons, so the October release should be treated as the current estimate, not a final immutable result. The data are real, constant-price national accounts rather than nominal sales or cash receipts.\n\nEconomically, the figures show two simultaneous conditions: the first-half total remained slightly above the previous year, while Q2 and several travel-sensitive activities weakened. The rising non-oil share is a composition measure; it does not mean that oil output or revenue increased. Growth rates and sector shares answer different questions and should not be combined as if they were additive contributions. For businesses, the report offers a macroeconomic snapshot, while sector-specific orders, prices and company accounts are needed to assess individual market demand.\n\nThe release provides a national aggregate, not a complete account of household purchasing power, company margins or employment. Constant-price GDP tracks changes in the volume of production after price effects are removed; it cannot by itself describe inflation or nominal revenue. The distinction matters when businesses compare activity with sales receipts, which can move differently because of prices, exchange conditions or sector composition. The preliminary status and planned revision also argue for using the series with its stated vintage and period.","corrections":[],"editorial_illustration":{"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","documentary":false,"scope":"section","asset_id":"economy","url":"https://haberpaper.com/assets/illustrations/economy-1536.webp","width":1536,"height":1024,"alt":"Symbolic trading harbour with a cargo ship, containers and a bridge.","language":"en"},"section_illustration":{"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","documentary":false,"scope":"section","asset_id":"economy","url":"https://haberpaper.com/assets/illustrations/economy-1536.webp","width":1536,"height":1024,"alt":"Symbolic trading harbour with a cargo ship, containers and a bridge.","language":"en"}}}