{"version":"1","article":{"id":"uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity","slug":"uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity","language":"en","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/news/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity?lang=en","title":"EWEC forecasts a reduction of more than 45% in Abu Dhabi power and water emissions by 2035","summary":"The utility’s long-term plan projects lower emissions despite rising electricity demand; its solar, battery and reverse-osmosis targets are not completed outcomes.","category":"energy","region":"world","topics":[],"published_at":"2026-10-03T02:47:09+03:00","modified_at":"2026-10-03T01:03:49Z","publication_basis":"publication-record","event_period":"2026-09-21","event_period_basis":"event-or-reference-period","sources":[{"name":"Emirates News Agency (WAM), citing Emirates Water and Electricity Company (EWEC)","url":"https://www.wam.ae/en/article/c2cx548-ewec-forecasts-over-45-cent-reduction-carbon","publishedAt":"2026-09-21","checkedAt":"2026-10-03"}],"translations":[{"language":"tr","url":"https://haberpaper.com/tr/news/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity?lang=tr"},{"language":"en","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/news/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity?lang=en"},{"language":"ar","url":"https://haberpaper.com/ar/news/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity?lang=ar"},{"language":"fr","url":"https://haberpaper.com/fr/news/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity?lang=fr"},{"language":"es","url":"https://haberpaper.com/es/news/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity?lang=es"}],"data_types":["metrics"],"data":{"version":1,"blocks":[{"id":"ewec-outlook-indicators","type":"metrics","title":{"tr":"EWEC’nin 2035 enerji ve su görünümü","en":"EWEC 2035 power and water outlook","ar":"آفاق الكهرباء والمياه لدى EWEC لعام 2035","fr":"Perspectives électricité et eau d’EWEC pour 2035","es":"Perspectivas de electricidad y agua de EWEC para 2035"},"description":{"tr":"EWEC planlama duyurusunda verilen yaklaşık toplam emisyon değerleri ve talep artışı tahmini.","en":"Approximate total emissions figures and a demand-growth forecast reported in EWEC’s planning outlook.","ar":"أرقام تقريبية لإجمالي الانبعاثات وتوقع لنمو الطلب وردا في آفاق التخطيط لدى EWEC.","fr":"Chiffres approximatifs des émissions totales et prévision de croissance de la demande présentés dans les perspectives de planification d’EWEC.","es":"Cifras aproximadas de emisiones totales y una previsión de crecimiento de la demanda publicadas en las perspectivas de planificación de EWEC."},"methodology":{"tr":"Kaynak yaklaşık değer ve tahmin ifadelerini kullanır. 2019 değeri yaklaşık tarihsel taban, 2035 değeri öngörüdür; talep artışı 2026–2033 dönemi tahminidir. Değerler gerçekleşme veya bağımsız ölçüm olarak sunulmamıştır.","en":"The source uses approximate figures and forecast language. The 2019 value is an approximate historical baseline, the 2035 value is projected, and demand growth covers the 2026–2033 forecast period. These figures are not presented as realised outcomes or independent measurements.","ar":"يستخدم المصدر أرقاماً تقريبية وصياغات توقعية. تمثل قيمة 2019 خط أساس تاريخياً تقريبياً، وقيمة 2035 توقعاً، ويغطي نمو الطلب فترة التوقعات 2026–2033. لا تُعرض هذه الأرقام بوصفها نتائج متحققة أو قياسات مستقلة.","fr":"La source emploie des chiffres approximatifs et un langage de prévision. La valeur de 2019 est une référence historique approximative, celle de 2035 est projetée, et la croissance de la demande couvre la période prévisionnelle 2026–2033. Ces chiffres ne sont pas présentés comme des résultats réalisés ni comme des mesures indépendantes.","es":"La fuente utiliza cifras aproximadas y lenguaje de previsión. El valor de 2019 es una base histórica aproximada, el de 2035 es proyectado y el crecimiento de la demanda cubre el periodo previsto 2026–2033. Estas cifras no se presentan como resultados realizados ni como mediciones independientes."},"sourceUrls":["https://www.wam.ae/en/article/c2cx548-ewec-forecasts-over-45-cent-reduction-carbon"],"updatedAt":"2026-10-03T01:03:49Z","items":[{"label":{"tr":"Elektrik ve su üretimi kaynaklı karbon emisyonu (yaklaşık, taban)","en":"Carbon emissions from power and water production (approximate baseline)","ar":"انبعاثات الكربون من إنتاج الكهرباء والمياه (خط أساس تقريبي)","fr":"Émissions de carbone de la production d’électricité et d’eau (référence approximative)","es":"Emisiones de carbono de la producción de electricidad y agua (base aproximada)"},"value":42,"unit":"million tonnes","period":"2019","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"ewec-power-water-carbon-emissions","unitCode":"million-tonnes","geography":"abu-dhabi","frequency":"irregular","aggregation":"unspecified","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"Elektrik ve su üretiminde karbon emisyonu (2035 öngörüsü, yaklaşık)","en":"Carbon emissions from power and water production (2035 forecast, approximate)","ar":"انبعاثات الكربون من إنتاج الكهرباء والمياه (توقع تقريبي لعام 2035)","fr":"Émissions de carbone de la production d’électricité et d’eau (prévision approximative pour 2035)","es":"Emisiones de carbono de la producción de electricidad y agua (previsión aproximada para 2035)"},"value":23,"unit":"million tonnes","period":"2035","basis":"forecast","measure":{"id":"ewec-power-water-carbon-emissions","unitCode":"million-tonnes","geography":"abu-dhabi","frequency":"irregular","aggregation":"unspecified","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"Yıllık elektrik talebinin 2026–2033 arasındaki toplam artışı (öngörü)","en":"Total growth in annual electricity demand between 2026 and 2033 (forecast)","ar":"إجمالي نمو الطلب السنوي على الكهرباء بين 2026 و2033 (توقع)","fr":"Hausse totale de la demande annuelle d’électricité entre 2026 et 2033 (prévision)","es":"Aumento total de la demanda anual de electricidad entre 2026 y 2033 (previsión)"},"value":70,"unit":"percent","period":"2033","basis":"forecast","measure":{"id":"ewec-electricity-demand-growth","unitCode":"percent","geography":"abu-dhabi","frequency":"irregular","aggregation":"change","periodRole":"reference-period"},"periodStart":"2026"}]}]},"data_compilations":[{"id":"ewec-outlook-indicators","creator":{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/#organization","name":"Haber Paper","url":"https://haberpaper.com/"},"license":{"@type":"CreativeWork","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1#license","name":"Haber Paper Original Data Compilation License 1.0","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1"},"rights_scope":"Haber Paper original data arrangement, labels and methodology notes only; underlying source rights and permissions remain separate.","source_license_url":null}],"data_downloads":[{"id":"ewec-outlook-indicators","formats":{"json":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity/data/ewec-outlook-indicators?lang=en&format=json","csv":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/uae-ewec-2035-emissions-forecast-solar-capacity/data/ewec-outlook-indicators?lang=en&format=csv"}}],"content":{"paragraphs":["Emirates Water and Electricity Company (EWEC) expects total carbon emissions from power and water production in Abu Dhabi to fall to about 23 million tonnes in 2035. A long-term system outlook reported by the Emirates News Agency (WAM) on 21 September 2026 projects a reduction of more than 45% from approximately 42 million tonnes in 2019. These figures are planning projections, not an observed 2035 result. The stated emissions boundary covers power and water production; it does not cover every sector of the economy or all emissions in the country.","The same outlook forecasts annual electricity demand to rise by around 70% between 2026 and 2033. EWEC’s scenario therefore does not assume a shrinking energy system: it projects that more electricity and water supply can be delivered while emissions from production decline. Assessing that outcome requires supply volumes, plant utilisation, the fuel mix and the calculation method. WAM’s report gives no modelling assumptions, annual interim milestones or breakdown of which customer groups are expected to drive demand growth.","The plan centres on increasing solar capacity to 14 gigawatts by 2030 and more than 35 gigawatts by 2035. EWEC also expects up to 15 gigawatts of battery storage capacity to support that expansion. These are planned capacity goals and an upper limit, not a claim that all projects are built or operating. Battery capacity reported in gigawatts measures power, not the duration of storage or the total energy in gigawatt-hours.","Because solar output varies with sunlight and weather, flexible generation and storage also matter to system operation. EWEC says the contribution from gas-fired generation is expected to decline as new capacity is commissioned; it does not announce that gas plants will immediately close or disappear. The company also notes that gas generation provides flexibility to balance variable renewable output. The plan thus addresses supply reliability and the need to serve demand continuously alongside its emissions objective.","On the water side, EWEC forecasts that reverse-osmosis desalination will account for more than 95% of total water production by 2035. It identifies expansion of the reverse-osmosis portfolio as one of the main drivers of lower emissions. The announcement does not quantify current and future water volumes, energy consumption per plant, seawater withdrawals or brine management. The market-share target alone therefore does not show how many current facilities will change or how water costs may move.","Having emissions fall while electricity and water demand rise makes capacity planning and the speed of connecting lower-carbon resources central to the forecast. Delivery depends on solar and storage projects being completed on schedule, grid connections, operating efficiency and the reverse-osmosis share of water production. WAM’s report gives no investment budget, consumer tariff outlook, contract costs or commissioning date for each facility. The emissions projection is not evidence that project costs or household utility bills will fall.","For readers, a key distinction is between total emissions and emissions intensity. EWEC’s more-than-45% reduction compares total carbon from power and water production in 2019 and 2035; it does not provide emissions per megawatt-hour or per unit of water. Those intensity measures could show more directly how the system becomes cleaner as supply expands. Future progress reports with commissioned capacity, output, fuel mix, annual emissions and forecast variance would make the route to the 2035 projection possible to assess."],"key_points":[],"sections":[]},"text":"The utility’s long-term plan projects lower emissions despite rising electricity demand; its solar, battery and reverse-osmosis targets are not completed outcomes.\n\nEmirates Water and Electricity Company (EWEC) expects total carbon emissions from power and water production in Abu Dhabi to fall to about 23 million tonnes in 2035. A long-term system outlook reported by the Emirates News Agency (WAM) on 21 September 2026 projects a reduction of more than 45% from approximately 42 million tonnes in 2019. These figures are planning projections, not an observed 2035 result. The stated emissions boundary covers power and water production; it does not cover every sector of the economy or all emissions in the country.\n\nThe same outlook forecasts annual electricity demand to rise by around 70% between 2026 and 2033. EWEC’s scenario therefore does not assume a shrinking energy system: it projects that more electricity and water supply can be delivered while emissions from production decline. Assessing that outcome requires supply volumes, plant utilisation, the fuel mix and the calculation method. WAM’s report gives no modelling assumptions, annual interim milestones or breakdown of which customer groups are expected to drive demand growth.\n\nThe plan centres on increasing solar capacity to 14 gigawatts by 2030 and more than 35 gigawatts by 2035. EWEC also expects up to 15 gigawatts of battery storage capacity to support that expansion. These are planned capacity goals and an upper limit, not a claim that all projects are built or operating. Battery capacity reported in gigawatts measures power, not the duration of storage or the total energy in gigawatt-hours.\n\nBecause solar output varies with sunlight and weather, flexible generation and storage also matter to system operation. EWEC says the contribution from gas-fired generation is expected to decline as new capacity is commissioned; it does not announce that gas plants will immediately close or disappear. The company also notes that gas generation provides flexibility to balance variable renewable output. The plan thus addresses supply reliability and the need to serve demand continuously alongside its emissions objective.\n\nOn the water side, EWEC forecasts that reverse-osmosis desalination will account for more than 95% of total water production by 2035. It identifies expansion of the reverse-osmosis portfolio as one of the main drivers of lower emissions. The announcement does not quantify current and future water volumes, energy consumption per plant, seawater withdrawals or brine management. The market-share target alone therefore does not show how many current facilities will change or how water costs may move.\n\nHaving emissions fall while electricity and water demand rise makes capacity planning and the speed of connecting lower-carbon resources central to the forecast. Delivery depends on solar and storage projects being completed on schedule, grid connections, operating efficiency and the reverse-osmosis share of water production. WAM’s report gives no investment budget, consumer tariff outlook, contract costs or commissioning date for each facility. The emissions projection is not evidence that project costs or household utility bills will fall.\n\nFor readers, a key distinction is between total emissions and emissions intensity. EWEC’s more-than-45% reduction compares total carbon from power and water production in 2019 and 2035; it does not provide emissions per megawatt-hour or per unit of water. Those intensity measures could show more directly how the system becomes cleaner as supply expands. Future progress reports with commissioned capacity, output, fuel mix, annual emissions and forecast variance would make the route to the 2035 projection possible to assess.\n\nThe 70% data-card label was clarified: it is the forecast total increase in annual electricity demand between 2026 and 2033, not 70% growth every year. The source and figures in the article body are unchanged.","corrections":[{"at":"2026-10-03T04:00:44+03:00","language":"en","text":"The 70% data-card label was clarified: it is the forecast total increase in annual electricity demand between 2026 and 2033, not 70% growth every year. The source and figures in the article body are unchanged."}],"editorial_illustration":{"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","documentary":false,"scope":"section","asset_id":"energy","url":"https://haberpaper.com/assets/illustrations/energy-1536.webp","width":1536,"height":1024,"alt":"Symbolic energy landscape with solar panels, wind turbines and transmission lines.","language":"en"},"section_illustration":{"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","documentary":false,"scope":"section","asset_id":"energy","url":"https://haberpaper.com/assets/illustrations/energy-1536.webp","width":1536,"height":1024,"alt":"Symbolic energy landscape with solar panels, wind turbines and transmission lines.","language":"en"}}}