{"version":1,"article_url":"https://haberpaper.com/fr/news/uae-bank-liquidity-indicators-october-2026","compilation":{"creator":{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/#organization","name":"Haber Paper","url":"https://haberpaper.com/"},"license":{"@type":"CreativeWork","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1#license","name":"Haber Paper Original Data Compilation License 1.0","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1"},"rights_scope":"Haber Paper original data arrangement, labels and methodology notes only; underlying source rights and permissions remain separate.","source_license_url":null},"block":{"id":"liquidity-surplus-forecast","type":"metrics","title":{"tr":"2 Ekim gün sonu likidite fazlası tahmini","en":"2 October end-of-day liquidity-surplus forecast","ar":"توقع فائض السيولة في نهاية يوم 2 أكتوبر","fr":"Prévision de l’excédent de liquidité en fin de journée du 2 octobre","es":"Previsión del excedente de liquidez al cierre del 2 de octubre"},"description":{"tr":"Tahmin, önceki günün gözlenen bakiyesinden üretilmiştir; gerçekleşme verisi değildir.","en":"The forecast uses the previous day’s observed balance; it is not an observed outcome.","ar":"يستند التوقع إلى الرصيد المرصود في اليوم السابق، وليس نتيجة فعلية.","fr":"La prévision part du solde observé la veille ; ce n’est pas un résultat observé.","es":"La previsión parte del saldo observado el día anterior; no es un resultado observado."},"methodology":{"tr":"Merkez bankasının 2 Ekim itibarıyla yayımladığı ortalama tahmin ve yüzde 95 güven aralığı alt/üst sınırları, kaynakta milyon AED olarak verildiği için AED’ye çevrilmiştir. Modelin tüm özellikleri çalışma kitabında açıklanmıyor.","en":"The central bank’s mean forecast and 95% confidence bounds, current as of 2 October, are converted from AED millions to AED. The workbook does not disclose the full model specification.","ar":"حُوّل متوسط التوقع وحدا مجال الثقة البالغ 95 بالمئة، كما في 2 أكتوبر، من ملايين الدراهم إلى الدراهم. ولا يوضح الملف مواصفات النموذج كاملة.","fr":"La moyenne prévisionnelle et les bornes de confiance à 95 %, à jour au 2 octobre, sont converties de millions d’AED en AED. Le classeur ne détaille pas l’ensemble du modèle.","es":"La media prevista y los límites de confianza del 95 %, vigentes al 2 de octubre, se convierten de millones de AED a AED. El libro no publica toda la especificación del modelo."},"sourceUrls":["https://centralbank.ae/media/ssibljsp/daily-liquidity-indicators-02-oct-2026.xlsx","https://centralbank.ae/en/our-operations/monetary-policy-and-domestic-markets/monetary-policy-documents/daily-liquidity-indicators/"],"updatedAt":"2026-10-04T06:00:03+03:00","items":[{"label":{"tr":"Tahmin ortalaması","en":"Forecast mean","ar":"متوسط التوقع","fr":"Moyenne de la prévision","es":"Media de la previsión"},"value":100951600000,"unit":"AED","period":"2026-10-02","basis":"forecast","measure":{"id":"liquidity-surplus-forecast-mean","unitCode":"aed","geography":"united-arab-emirates","frequency":"daily","aggregation":"stock","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"Alt sınır — yüzde 95 güven aralığı","en":"Lower bound — 95% confidence interval","ar":"الحد الأدنى — مجال ثقة 95 بالمئة","fr":"Borne basse — intervalle de confiance à 95 %","es":"Límite inferior — intervalo de confianza del 95 %"},"value":94204120000,"unit":"AED","period":"2026-10-02","basis":"forecast","measure":{"id":"liquidity-surplus-forecast-lower-95","unitCode":"aed","geography":"united-arab-emirates","frequency":"daily","aggregation":"stock","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"Üst sınır — yüzde 95 güven aralığı","en":"Upper bound — 95% confidence interval","ar":"الحد الأعلى — مجال ثقة 95 بالمئة","fr":"Borne haute — intervalle de confiance à 95 %","es":"Límite superior — intervalo de confianza del 95 %"},"value":107699100000,"unit":"AED","period":"2026-10-02","basis":"forecast","measure":{"id":"liquidity-surplus-forecast-upper-95","unitCode":"aed","geography":"united-arab-emirates","frequency":"daily","aggregation":"stock","periodRole":"reference-period"}}]}}