{"version":"1","article":{"id":"deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025","slug":"deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025","language":"en","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/news/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025?lang=en","title":"ONS estimates 974 deaths among people experiencing homelessness in England and Wales in 2025","summary":"The ONS estimated 974 deaths in 2025 registrations, with a 95% confidence interval of 908 to 1,041, broadly similar to the previous year.","category":"economy","region":"world","topics":[],"published_at":"2026-10-04T13:00:06+03:00","modified_at":"2026-10-04T13:00:06+03:00","publication_basis":"publication-record","event_period":"2025-12","event_period_basis":"event-or-reference-period","sources":[{"name":"Office for National Statistics","url":"https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsofhomelesspeopleinenglandandwales/2013to2025registrations","checkedAt":"2026-10-04","publishedAt":"2026-10-01"}],"translations":[{"language":"tr","url":"https://haberpaper.com/tr/news/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025?lang=tr"},{"language":"en","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/news/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025?lang=en"},{"language":"ar","url":"https://haberpaper.com/ar/news/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025?lang=ar"},{"language":"fr","url":"https://haberpaper.com/fr/news/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025?lang=fr"},{"language":"es","url":"https://haberpaper.com/es/news/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025","api_url":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025?lang=es"}],"data_types":["metrics"],"data":{"version":1,"blocks":[{"id":"homelessness-related-deaths-england-wales-2025","type":"metrics","title":{"tr":"Evsizlik yaşayan kişiler için 2025 tahmini ölüm göstergeleri","en":"2025 estimated deaths among people experiencing homelessness","ar":"وفيات مقدرة لأشخاص يمرون بتجربة التشرد في 2025","fr":"Décès estimés de personnes sans domicile en 2025","es":"Muertes estimadas de personas sin hogar en 2025"},"description":{"tr":"ONS'nin İngiltere ve Galler ölüm kayıtları için tahminleri ve 15–74 yaş genel nüfusa dayalı kaba hızı.","en":"ONS estimates for England and Wales death registrations and a crude rate using the general population aged 15 to 74.","ar":"تقديرات المكتب لسجلات الوفيات في إنجلترا وويلز ومعدل خام محسوب على عموم السكان من عمر 15 إلى 74 عاماً.","fr":"Estimations de l’ONS pour les enregistrements de décès en Angleterre et au pays de Galles et taux brut fondé sur la population générale de 15 à 74 ans.","es":"Estimaciones de la ONS para los registros de defunción en Inglaterra y Gales y tasa bruta basada en la población general de 15 a 74 años."},"methodology":{"tr":"Ölümler kayıt yılına göre raporlanır. Tahmini toplam, kayıt verilerinde belirlenen ölümler ile yıllık İngiltere ve Galler düzeyindeki Mth Chao yakalama-yeniden yakalama alt sınır modelini birleştirir; güven aralığı belirsizliği gösterir. Kaba hız milyon kişi başına ve 15–74 yaş genel nüfus paydasıyla hesaplanır; evsizlik yaşayan nüfusa özgü veya yaş standardize bir oran değildir. Bölgesel tahminler ayrı modeller değil, belirlenen ölüm paylarına göre dağıtımdır.","en":"Deaths are reported by registration year. The estimated total combines deaths identified in registration data with an annual England and Wales Mth Chao capture-recapture lower-bound model; the confidence interval expresses uncertainty. The crude rate is per million people using the general population aged 15 to 74 as its denominator; it is neither a rate for the population experiencing homelessness nor age-standardised. Regional estimates are allocated by shares of identified deaths rather than modelled separately.","ar":"تُعرض الوفيات حسب سنة التسجيل. ويجمع الإجمالي المقدّر بين الوفيات المحددة في بيانات التسجيل ونموذج تشاو Mth السنوي للحد الأدنى باستخدام الالتقاط وإعادة الالتقاط على مستوى إنجلترا وويلز؛ ويعبّر فاصل الثقة عن عدم اليقين. ويُحسب المعدل الخام لكل مليون من عموم السكان الذين تتراوح أعمارهم بين 15 و74 عاماً؛ فهو ليس معدلاً خاصاً بالسكان الذين يمرون بتجربة التشرد ولا معدلاً موحداً حسب العمر. وتُوزع التقديرات الإقليمية بحسب حصص الوفيات المحددة بدلاً من نمذجتها بصورة مستقلة.","fr":"Les décès sont rapportés par année d’enregistrement. Le total estimé combine les décès identifiés dans les données d’enregistrement et un modèle annuel de borne inférieure Mth Chao par capture-recapture pour l’Angleterre et le pays de Galles ; l’intervalle de confiance exprime l’incertitude. Le taux brut est calculé par million de personnes de la population générale âgée de 15 à 74 ans ; il ne s’agit ni d’un taux propre aux personnes sans domicile ni d’un taux standardisé selon l’âge. Les estimations régionales sont réparties selon les parts de décès identifiés, et non modélisées séparément.","es":"Las muertes se presentan por año de registro. El total estimado combina las muertes identificadas en los datos registrales con un modelo anual de límite inferior Mth Chao de captura-recaptura para Inglaterra y Gales; el intervalo de confianza expresa la incertidumbre. La tasa bruta se calcula por millón de personas usando como denominador la población general de 15 a 74 años; no es una tasa de la población sin hogar ni está estandarizada por edad. Las estimaciones regionales se distribuyen según la proporción de muertes identificadas, en vez de modelarse por separado."},"items":[{"label":{"tr":"Tahmini toplam ölüm","en":"Estimated total deaths","ar":"إجمالي الوفيات المقدرة","fr":"Total estimé des décès","es":"Total estimado de muertes"},"value":974,"unit":"count","period":"2025","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"homelessness-related-deaths-estimated-total","unitCode":"count","geography":"england-and-wales","frequency":"annual","aggregation":"flow","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"%95 güven aralığı alt sınırı","en":"95% confidence interval lower bound","ar":"الحد الأدنى لفاصل الثقة 95%","fr":"Borne basse de l’intervalle de confiance à 95%","es":"Límite inferior del intervalo de confianza del 95%"},"value":908,"unit":"count","period":"2025","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"homelessness-related-deaths-ci-lower","unitCode":"count","geography":"england-and-wales","frequency":"annual","aggregation":"unspecified","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"%95 güven aralığı üst sınırı","en":"95% confidence interval upper bound","ar":"الحد الأعلى لفاصل الثقة 95%","fr":"Borne haute de l’intervalle de confiance à 95%","es":"Límite superior del intervalo de confianza del 95%"},"value":1041,"unit":"count","period":"2025","basis":"estimate","measure":{"id":"homelessness-related-deaths-ci-upper","unitCode":"count","geography":"england-and-wales","frequency":"annual","aggregation":"unspecified","periodRole":"reference-period"}},{"label":{"tr":"Belirlenen ölüm kaydı","en":"Identified death registrations","ar":"وفيات محددة في سجلات التسجيل","fr":"Décès identifiés dans les enregistrements","es":"Muertes identificadas en los registros"},"value":834,"unit":"count","period":"2025","basis":"observed","measure":{"id":"homelessness-related-deaths-identified","unitCode":"count","geography":"england-and-wales","frequency":"annual","aggregation":"flow","periodRole":"reference-period"}}],"sourceUrls":["https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsofhomelesspeopleinenglandandwales/2013to2025registrations"],"updatedAt":"2026-10-04T02:19:13Z"}]},"data_compilations":[{"id":"homelessness-related-deaths-england-wales-2025","creator":{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/#organization","name":"Haber Paper","url":"https://haberpaper.com/"},"license":{"@type":"CreativeWork","@id":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1#license","name":"Haber Paper Original Data Compilation License 1.0","url":"https://haberpaper.com/en/data-terms/v1"},"rights_scope":"Haber Paper original data arrangement, labels and methodology notes only; underlying source rights and permissions remain separate.","source_license_url":null}],"data_downloads":[{"id":"homelessness-related-deaths-england-wales-2025","formats":{"json":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025/data/homelessness-related-deaths-england-wales-2025?lang=en&format=json","csv":"https://haberpaper.com/api/v1/articles/deaths-people-experiencing-homelessness-england-wales-registrations-2013-2025/data/homelessness-related-deaths-england-wales-2025?lang=en&format=csv"}}],"content":{"paragraphs":["An Office for National Statistics (ONS) release published on 1 October 2026 estimated that 974 deaths of people experiencing homelessness were registered in England and Wales in 2025. The ONS gave a 95% confidence interval of 908 to 1,041. Its estimate for 2024 was 978, and the office described the two years as similar. The four-death difference should not be read as a firm change in direction: these are model-based estimates and the confidence interval makes their uncertainty visible. The figures refer to the year in which a death was registered, not necessarily the year in which it occurred. Registration can take place later, particularly when a coroner investigates a death.","The published total is not simply a count of records directly identified. The ONS identified 834 deaths in registration data for 2025 and used capture-recapture modelling to estimate a total of 974. The model therefore added an estimated 140 deaths beyond those found directly. Capture-recapture examines overlap between different ways of identifying cases to estimate cases that may not appear in any one source. The office used three groups of evidence: residence or no-fixed-abode information, coroner information and place-of-death information. It first searched complete death-registration records using multiple strategies, then had analysts review cases with ambiguous or conflicting evidence. In a second stage, it fitted a model for each registration year at the England and Wales level.","The ONS sets out important limits on interpretation. It selected the Mth Chao lower-bound estimator, which it describes as robust but conservative. The resulting estimates should therefore be treated as lower bounds, and the true total may be higher. The evidence sources come from the same administrative system and may not be fully independent. Homelessness may not be known to the person supplying information, the registrar or the coroner, or may not be entered in the relevant fields. The model is intended to account for some deaths not directly identified, but it does not turn the estimate into a complete count. The release’s definition is based on death-registration information indicating that a person was sleeping rough or using emergency or temporary accommodation at or around the time of death. It does not align directly with the definitions used in statutory homelessness or rough-sleeping statistics.","Over the longer series, estimated deaths rose from 550 in 2013 to 974 in 2025, an increase of 77.1% according to the ONS. Directly identified deaths rose from 415 to 834 over the same period. These series describe different things: identified deaths are cases found in the available registration records, while estimated deaths include the additional cases inferred by the model. The ONS also said it had improved identification for registrations from 2013 to 2021, resulting in more deaths being identified for those years than in its previous release. The modelling method did not change, but the improvements in record searches affected earlier figures. That note matters when comparing this release with older versions of the series; they should not be treated as if every historical figure had been produced from an unchanged identification process.","The 2025 estimate included 833 male deaths and 141 female deaths, representing 85.5% and 14.5% of the estimated total respectively. Among English regions, London had the highest estimated number at 151, followed by the North West at 146 and the South East at 144; the estimate for Wales was 63. Regional and subgroup figures are allocated from the England and Wales model estimate according to each area’s share of identified deaths; the ONS did not fit a separate model for every region. It therefore advises caution with small-area figures and annual changes. The crude rate of 21.3 deaths per million people is also not a death rate among the population experiencing homelessness: its denominator is the general population aged 15 to 74, and the rate is not age-standardised. These statistics establish neither a cause nor a causal relationship. They need to be read with their registration definition, estimation method and uncertainty in view."],"key_points":[],"sections":[]},"text":"The ONS estimated 974 deaths in 2025 registrations, with a 95% confidence interval of 908 to 1,041, broadly similar to the previous year.\n\nAn Office for National Statistics (ONS) release published on 1 October 2026 estimated that 974 deaths of people experiencing homelessness were registered in England and Wales in 2025. The ONS gave a 95% confidence interval of 908 to 1,041. Its estimate for 2024 was 978, and the office described the two years as similar. The four-death difference should not be read as a firm change in direction: these are model-based estimates and the confidence interval makes their uncertainty visible. The figures refer to the year in which a death was registered, not necessarily the year in which it occurred. Registration can take place later, particularly when a coroner investigates a death.\n\nThe published total is not simply a count of records directly identified. The ONS identified 834 deaths in registration data for 2025 and used capture-recapture modelling to estimate a total of 974. The model therefore added an estimated 140 deaths beyond those found directly. Capture-recapture examines overlap between different ways of identifying cases to estimate cases that may not appear in any one source. The office used three groups of evidence: residence or no-fixed-abode information, coroner information and place-of-death information. It first searched complete death-registration records using multiple strategies, then had analysts review cases with ambiguous or conflicting evidence. In a second stage, it fitted a model for each registration year at the England and Wales level.\n\nThe ONS sets out important limits on interpretation. It selected the Mth Chao lower-bound estimator, which it describes as robust but conservative. The resulting estimates should therefore be treated as lower bounds, and the true total may be higher. The evidence sources come from the same administrative system and may not be fully independent. Homelessness may not be known to the person supplying information, the registrar or the coroner, or may not be entered in the relevant fields. The model is intended to account for some deaths not directly identified, but it does not turn the estimate into a complete count. The release’s definition is based on death-registration information indicating that a person was sleeping rough or using emergency or temporary accommodation at or around the time of death. It does not align directly with the definitions used in statutory homelessness or rough-sleeping statistics.\n\nOver the longer series, estimated deaths rose from 550 in 2013 to 974 in 2025, an increase of 77.1% according to the ONS. Directly identified deaths rose from 415 to 834 over the same period. These series describe different things: identified deaths are cases found in the available registration records, while estimated deaths include the additional cases inferred by the model. The ONS also said it had improved identification for registrations from 2013 to 2021, resulting in more deaths being identified for those years than in its previous release. The modelling method did not change, but the improvements in record searches affected earlier figures. That note matters when comparing this release with older versions of the series; they should not be treated as if every historical figure had been produced from an unchanged identification process.\n\nThe 2025 estimate included 833 male deaths and 141 female deaths, representing 85.5% and 14.5% of the estimated total respectively. Among English regions, London had the highest estimated number at 151, followed by the North West at 146 and the South East at 144; the estimate for Wales was 63. Regional and subgroup figures are allocated from the England and Wales model estimate according to each area’s share of identified deaths; the ONS did not fit a separate model for every region. It therefore advises caution with small-area figures and annual changes. The crude rate of 21.3 deaths per million people is also not a death rate among the population experiencing homelessness: its denominator is the general population aged 15 to 74, and the rate is not age-standardised. These statistics establish neither a cause nor a causal relationship. They need to be read with their registration definition, estimation method and uncertainty in view.","corrections":[],"editorial_illustration":{"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","documentary":false,"scope":"section","asset_id":"economy","url":"https://haberpaper.com/assets/illustrations/economy-1536.webp","width":1536,"height":1024,"alt":"Symbolic trading harbour with a cargo ship, containers and a bridge.","language":"en"},"section_illustration":{"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","documentary":false,"scope":"section","asset_id":"economy","url":"https://haberpaper.com/assets/illustrations/economy-1536.webp","width":1536,"height":1024,"alt":"Symbolic trading harbour with a cargo ship, containers and a bridge.","language":"en"}}}